- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Twins
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: ATV
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 6-7 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 1-1, 5.07 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -120 | -105 |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | U 8 +100 | -115 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+15.40 Units / 385% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 170 games (+15.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 170 games (+6.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 84 away games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 84 away games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 84 away games (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 79 games at home (+11.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 161 games (+1.91 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 8-4 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 25.9% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 15.6% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 3.38% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -11.41% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 6-7 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -4.88% ROI).
- 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -41.37% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -11.23% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.44% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 38% (62/163) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (10/82) versus Reese Olson on breaking pitches in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (908/1,426) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (324/509) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 14-59 (.192) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Tigers are 42-5 (.894) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 15-31 (.326) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 1-76 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,576 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .888 (282 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Tigers hitters slugged just .362 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .105 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .368 (113 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Twins hitters are slugging just .200 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 454 of 6,395 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 930 of 12,468 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 911 of 12,582 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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