- The Twins are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | FDDT
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 6-8 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jackson Jobe 0-0, 5.01 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-1, 14.74 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 9 +100 | -125 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+14.40 Units / 288% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 85% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+16.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 171 games (+7.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 85 away games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 85 away games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 away games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+0.91 Units / 0% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 9-4 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 28.53% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 20.34% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 10% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -17.67% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 6-8 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -10.34% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -44.97% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -4.23% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Jobe (DET) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jackson Jobe has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has walked 7 of 40 batters (17%) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has a strike rate of just 55% (31/56) in two strike counts this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 11th Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (36/56) with two-strikes this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 88th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has an ERA of 14.73 (7.1 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Chris Paddack when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (11 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .308 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strike rate of just 51% (30/59) in two strike counts this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 19-57 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 14-59 (.192) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 144-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 15-32 (.319) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.
The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of .377 (324 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .943 (155 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .677.
Tigers hitters have put just 28% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,577 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .105 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .168 (113 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .368 (113 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .679.
Twins hitters have 8 extra-base hits out of 11 total hits (73%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 459 of 6,439 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 935 of 12,514 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 471 of 6,598 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 914 of 12,628 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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