- The Twins are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-10 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 5.01 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 0-1, 2.60 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -120 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 +100 | -150 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.40 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.05 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+7.90 Units / 158% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 6-13 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -32.17% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -7.11% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.94% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-10 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -23.8% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -29.66% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -21.82% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 14.29% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 56% (14/25) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has not walked any of the 42 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (43/126) against Jack Flaherty this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty’s has 12 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 61% (11 SO in 18 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (193/267) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (117/162) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 34% (24 SO in 70 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 21-131 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 19-27 (.413) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 19-59 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 13-69 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Twins are 75-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,616 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,616 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .362 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .156 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Twins are batting just .106 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .164.
The Twins are batting just .146 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .182 (362 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (531.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 487 of 6,663 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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