- The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: BSDT | BSNX
The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-11 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -115 | +120 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -105 | -145 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+7.90 Units / 158% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 84% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 7-13 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -26.35% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.71% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -5.16% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-11 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -26.99% ROI).
- 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -34.95% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -15.8% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 7.22% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Reese Olson versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .222 — first Percentile.
Reese Olson has 6 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 8th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (61/180) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of .524 (21 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .282 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (1,210/1,565) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 86% of the time (328/379) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (36/207) against Bailey Ober since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown his changeup 24% of the time (154/634) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are just 21-131 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 19-59 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are just 20-36 (.357) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Twins are 13-69 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,648 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,648 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,056 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .106 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .165.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .242 (208 PA’s) at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Twins are batting just .156 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Twins are batting just .191 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (540.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 46 of 674 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 489 of 6,702 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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