Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton doubles during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2023, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
  • The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Twins TV Channel: BSDT | BSNX

The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Tigers are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-11 ATS.

Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -185O 7.5 -115+120
Twins -1.5 +150U 7.5 -105-145

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+7.90 Units / 158% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 7-13 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -26.35% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.71% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.92% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -5.16% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-11 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -26.99% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -34.95% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -15.8% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 7.22% ROI

Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Alex Kirilloff (MIN) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Alex Kirilloff (MIN) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Reese Olson versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .222 — first Percentile.

Reese Olson has 6 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 8th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (61/180) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of .524 (21 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .282 — 0 Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (1,210/1,565) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 86% of the time (328/379) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (36/207) against Bailey Ober since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown his changeup 24% of the time (154/634) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Tigers are just 21-131 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 19-59 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Twins are just 20-36 (.357) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Twins are 13-69 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,648 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,648 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,056 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Twins are batting just .106 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .165.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .242 (208 PA’s) at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Twins are batting just .156 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Twins are batting just .191 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (540.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Twins pitchers have walked 46 of 674 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers have walked 489 of 6,702 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.