The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers, FL.
This season, the Tigers are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 8-9 ATS.
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +140 |
| Twins | -165 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Zack Short has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 9-8 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 4.63% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.32 Units / 19.83% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.32 Units / -38.38% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 30.29% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.88 Units / -13.68% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.78 Units / -21.91% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.83 Units / -20.45% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 12.25% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has limited playing time.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (37/194) versus Louie Varland in the 2023 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Louie Varland had a strike rate of 69% (754/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (13/21) against Louie Varland in late innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 32-41 (.438) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 16-49 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are just 29-44 (.397) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Tigers hitters slugged just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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