Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 30

min read
Chicago White Sox's Yoan Moncada watches his home run off San Diego Padres relief pitcher Robert Suarez during the eighth inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 29, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 30, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Tigers / White Sox TV Channel: BSDT | NSCH

The Detroit Tigers () visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Tigers are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 1-0 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers O
White Sox U

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s game with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+11.15 Units / 186% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 82% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 66.67% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 100% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 80% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 100% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% (26/103) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted just .180 (25-for-139) against Kenta Maeda versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.

Kenta Maeda threw off-speed pitches 66% of the time (1,126/1,700) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .207 (44-for-213) against Kenta Maeda on the road in the 2023 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 95th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mike Soroka has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 16th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 8.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Tigers are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox were just 11-22 (.333) after a home win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 8-20 (.286) after a road win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,050 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (9,050 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .659 (11,968 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
  • John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
  • Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.