Tigers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 3

New York Yankees' Aaron Judge during the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles Thursday, May 25, 2023, in New York. The Orioles won 3-1.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
  • The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSDT | MLBN

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Tigers are 18-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 15-18 ATS.

Tigers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-4, 3.14 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 2-1, 3.74 ERA

Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -155O 7.5 -110+135
Yankees -1.5 +125U 7.5 -110-160

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.10 Units / 189% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+18.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.30 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 14-17 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -6.63% ROI).

  • 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 11.79% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -7.25% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.44% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 15-18 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -6.68% ROI).

  • 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 2.88% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -24.2% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 15.69% ROI

Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Reese Olson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 48.1.

Reese Olson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to April 1st — Logan Gilbert has the longest active streak at 8.

Opponents are hitting .419 (13-for-31) against Reese Olson versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 28% (17/61) against Reese Olson this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (32 Total Bases / 54 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has allowed an OBP of .407 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .281 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (52/89) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 64% of the time (369/578) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Tigers are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The Tigers are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 23-133 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are 64-23 (.736) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Yankees are 49-50 (.495) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Yankees are 107-68 (.611) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Yankees are 114-87 (.567) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (9,977 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,977 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Tigers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,118 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Yankees hitters have grounded into 39 double plays in 258 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Yankees are batting .422 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (584.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (126.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Tigers pitchers have walked 85 of 1,165 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .230.

Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.