- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Tigers are 18-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 15-19 ATS.
Tigers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-0, 3.04 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 2-1, 3.20 ERA
Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -110 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -110 | -160 |
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.10 Units / 157% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+17.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+13.30 Units / 121% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 15-17 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -4.03% ROI).
- 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 8.7% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -10.49% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 1.7% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 15-19 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -8.94% ROI).
- 21-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 4.83% ROI
- 12-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -26.45% ROI
- 20-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 17.88% ROI
Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Trevino (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .364 vs right-handed batters (third worst)– second Percentile and just .118 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among non-qualified SPs)– 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/50) against Casey Mize on sliders this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 32% — third Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 12 of Casey Mize’s 68 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Casey Mize’s inside fastball this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has walked 8 of 54 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has walked 8 of 54 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has struck out 35% (23/65) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OBP of just .179 (28 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Tigers are just 21-28 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are just 23-133 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are 22-11 (.667) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 77-43 (.642) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Yankees are 114-87 (.567) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Yankees are 38-14 (.731) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (10,010 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Tigers are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,010 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have grounded into 41 double plays in 264 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,668 of their 7,270 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 90 of 1,198 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (584.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.79 (835.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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