- The Yankees are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Tigers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Tigers are 18-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 16-19 ATS.
Tigers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 4-0, 1.72 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 1-3, 3.86 ERA
Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 6.5 -105 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +165 | U 6.5 -115 | -135 |
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+20.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+19.30 Units / 161% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+16.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 15-18 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -7.32% ROI).
- 18-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 5.78% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -7.07% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.64% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 16-19 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -5.78% ROI).
- 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 6.66% ROI
- 13-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -23.07% ROI
- 20-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 14.54% ROI
Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (30 Total Bases / 130 ABs) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (49/91) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .078 (4 Total Bases / 51 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .203 (138 PA’s) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (33/125) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has a strike rate of 72% (130/181) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (273/719) against Nestor Cortes on sliders since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 40-13 (.755) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Tigers are just 21-89 (.191) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Tigers are just 21-28 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are just 23-134 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 50-50 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Yankees are 119-31 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 54-8 (.871) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (10,042 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,042 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,677 of their 7,304 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees have grounded into 41 double plays this season — most in MLB.
Yankees hitters are slugging .419 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 276 of 3,171 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (584.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.85 (142.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Yankees have won 59% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (314.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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