- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Angels
- Twins vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Angels TV Channel: BSNO | BSW
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-105) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Twins are 13-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 13-14 ATS.
Twins vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-2, 4.45 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 3-1, 2.13 ERA
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Angels | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.10 Units / 353% ROI)
- Austin Martin has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 109% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+8.50 Units / 170% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 73% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+17.60 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.75 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 26 games (+7.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 13-13 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -8.71% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -8.42% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 13-14 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -16.61% ROI).
- 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -22.38% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 1.5% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -11.77% ROI
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 45 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 45 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (192/505) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 2 of 62 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Reid Detmers’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 98th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has a strikeout rate of 33% (15 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (6-for-42) against Reid Detmers when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 91st Percentile.
Reid Detmers has a strikeout rate of 48% (12 SO in 25 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 39-13 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Twins are just 20-36 (.357) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Twins are 20-60 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 56-27 (.675) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Angels are just 20-96 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Angels are just 136-12 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .267 (105 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Twins hitters have 1,466 strikeouts in 5,463 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging .570 over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Twins hitters have 62 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (44%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,016 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels hitters have chased 8% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
The Angels have won just 38% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 79%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 515 of 7,002 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 181 of 1,673 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 17 of 116 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 740 of 7,330 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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