- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: Roku
The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Twins are 32-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 24-35 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-0, 2.73 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-5, 6.48 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -110 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -110 | -145 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 94% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 32 games (+22.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 44 games (+20.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.64 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 27-31 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -8.79% ROI).
- 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.84% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -10.98% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 2.23% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 24-35 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -15.66% ROI).
- 26-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -20.89% ROI
- 21-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -26.48% ROI
- 35-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.85 Units / 18.09% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -175 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (22/134) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of just 14% (10 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 10th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 42 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 180 off-speed pitches out of the zone (23%) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 32% — fifth Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.1 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Houck has the longest active streak at 60.1.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .471 (41-for-87) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 88% (14/16) against Hunter Brown on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 75% (9/12) against Hunter Brown — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .805 (70 Total Bases / 87 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .536 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins are 16-83 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Twins are 98-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 22-71 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 106-28 (.791) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are just 23-87 (.209) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Astros are 96-65 (.596) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have drawn 30 walks in 563 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have 131 extra-base hits out of 311 total hits (42%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .248 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 753 strikeouts in 4,314 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 105 strikeouts in 663 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .488 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .360.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,153/8,490 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 584 of 8,177 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 141 of 2,149 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 227 of 2,241 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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