- The Twins are -105 favorites vs the Astros
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: BSNO | SCHN | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Twins are 31-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 23-34 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 4-5, 5.28 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 5-0, 2.00 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 away games (+25.70 Units / 184% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 42 games (+21.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 30 games (+20.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 39 games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.64 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-30 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -7.97% ROI).
- 31-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.86% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -7.83% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.99% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 23-34 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -17.14% ROI).
- 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -21.37% ROI
- 21-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -23.94% ROI
- 33-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 15.57% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 99 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (99/275) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez’s K:BB ratio is 9.0 (36/4) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 96th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 45 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (29/66) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/72) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (4-for-34) against Ronel Blanco when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (33-for-190) against Ronel Blanco this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins are 22-70 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 97-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Twins are 45-15 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros are 125-93 (.573) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Astros are 48-31 (.608) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Astros are 178-19 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Astros are 221-160 (.580) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have drawn 28 walks in 533 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters are slugging just .247 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Twins hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 753 strikeouts in 4,311 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 432 strikeouts in 2,461 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .867 (685 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .679.
Astros hitters have just 49 strikeouts in 320 PA’s (15%) against LHP this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 137 of 2,081 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this month (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 580 of 8,109 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have walked 219 of 2,171 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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