- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Braves TV Channel: ATV
The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Twins are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 7-11 ATS.
Twins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-2, 9.50 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 0-1, 7.21 ERA
Twins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -102 | +120 |
| Braves | -1.5 +154 | U 8 -118 | -145 |
Twins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+9.70 Units / 121% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 away games (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryce Elder has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 164 games (+6.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 161 games (+1.66 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 165 games (+36.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 89 of their last 156 games (+13.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 8-11 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -8.64% ROI).
- 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -32.43% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -19.09% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 10.79% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -22.05% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -48.43% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.76% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -4.06% ROI
Braves vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Braves vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Braves vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .339 (37 GB hits out of 109 GBs) against Chris Paddack in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (7/18) against Chris Paddack on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
Chris Paddack has an ERA of 9.49 (12.1 IP)this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 58% (143/246) against Bryce Elder in 2023 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Bryce Elder had a first-pitch strike rate of 89% (23/26) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has a first-pitch strike rate of 89% (23/26) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder had a strikeout rate of just 16% (33/207) versus the bottom of the order in 2023 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are just 4-5 (.444) at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .609.
The Twins are just 1-79 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are just 7-12 (.368) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are just 5-13 (.278) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 5-13 (.278) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Braves are 97-78 (.554) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Braves are 20-14 (.588) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .122 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Twins hitters have 44 strikeouts in 132 PA’s (33%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins hitters have 26 strikeouts in 68 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .182 (132 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 70 double plays in 1,033 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Twins pitchers have walked 482 of 6,783 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 925 of 12,813 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have walked 99 of 1,601 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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