- The Twins are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Twins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Brewers TV Channel: BSNO | MLBN | BSWI | ESPN+
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Twins are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 3-0 ATS.
Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jakob Junis 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.84 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 56.67% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 21.92% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 53.1% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 108.2% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.47% ROI
Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yelich | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kirilloff | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Chourio | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ortiz | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kirilloff | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Buxton | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Chourio | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Ortiz | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yelich | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kirilloff | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Chourio | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ortiz | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junis | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Varland | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Louie Varland has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Shelby Miller has the longest active streak at 23.0.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (37/194) versus Louie Varland in the 2023 season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Louie Varland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (151/206) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Jakob Junis’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — 2nd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .435 (30-for-69) against Jakob Junis on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .275 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of 1.100 (33 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis threw his slider 60% of the time (141/235) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins were 11-10 (.524) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Brewers were 23-10 (.697) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 64-11 (.853) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins batted just .183 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Twins hitters had a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Twins hitters struck out 380 times in 1,509 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,267 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.65 (740.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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