- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Brewers
- Twins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Brewers TV Channel: BSNO | BSWI
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Twins are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-0 ATS.
Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Joe Ross 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.84 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 17.5% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -51.65% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 47.06% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 4-0 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 53.69% ROI).
- 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 101.18% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI
Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bauers | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dunn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kirilloff | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Chourio | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paddack | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Ross | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to September 11st, 2021 — the longest active streak is 8.
Chris Paddack has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.2 innings pitched — Reynaldo Lopez has the longest active streak at 18.1.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ross has limited playing time.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins were 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins are just 30-45 (.400) after a road win since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers were 23-10 (.697) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers are 33-21 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Brewers are 45-26 (.634) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging 1.000 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of 1.500 (6 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
Brewers hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters have 133 extra-base hits out of 508 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 455 of 6,171 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Brewers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .143 against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 2.25 (36.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Opponents batted just .226 against Brewers pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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