Twins vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 5

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)

The Minnesota Twins (+170) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-210) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter, FL.

This season, the Twins are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 0-7 ATS.

Twins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Twins+170
Cardinals -210

Twins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.85 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 away games (+11.39 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 3-4 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -20.12% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.28 Units / -44.44% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 33.67% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 0-7 against the Run Line (-8.11 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -47.27% ROI
  • 0-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.67 Units / -100% ROI
  • 7-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.02 Units / 90.58% ROI

Chris Paddack has limited playing time.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Twins are just 29-44 (.397) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Cardinals were 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were just 54-12 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.

The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.

The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 42% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
  • Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
  • Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.