- The Twins are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Twins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSNO | DBTV | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Twins are 43-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 36-42 ATS.
Twins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 5-5, 3.14 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 3-6, 4.34 ERA
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 away games (+23.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 50 games (+20.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 29 games (+15.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.04 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 35-43 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -11.7% ROI).
- 43-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.45% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -6.85% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.18% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 36-42 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.35% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (83/248) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (35/128) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .233 (172 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% (1,337/1,903) vs left-handed batters since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .184 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 92nd Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has not struck out any hitters in 23 PA’s vs left-handed batters — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .232 (185 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .303 (53-for-175) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fifth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Twins are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 13-24 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 12-6 (.667) after a road win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Twins are 106-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Diamondbacks are 19-3 (.864) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
The Diamondbacks are just 166-15 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Diamondbacks are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .295 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .174.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .352 (247 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Twins are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .332 (753 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .762 (906 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 203 of 2,889 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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