- The Twins are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Twins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSNO | DBTV | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Twins are 43-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 37-42 ATS.
Twins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-1, 3.28 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 5-5, 5.15 ERA
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -120 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -115 | +100 |
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+22.80 Units / 95% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.19 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 59 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+6.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 35-44 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -12.57% ROI).
- 43-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -2.65% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -5.59% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -3.38% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 37-42 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -9.64% ROI).
- 39-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.97% ROI
- 38-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 39-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.56% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (29/80) against Simeon Woods Richardson in two-strike counts this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (12/34) against Simeon Woods Richardson’s changeup this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 10th Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of just .508 (60 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .725 — 93rd Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OBP of just .217 (60 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .362 (46-for-127) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .422 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (215 Total Bases / 368 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .405 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 14% (62/450) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Twins are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 106-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 13-25 (.342) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Twins are just 7-13 (.350) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Diamondbacks are 12-3 (.800) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Diamondbacks are 34-9 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Diamondbacks are just 167-15 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 90 total hits (47%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .338 (237 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Twins are batting .311 against LHP this month (18 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .259 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 68% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 143 of 2,156 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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