- The Guardians are -155 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | TWTV
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Twins are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 14-14 ATS.
Twins vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-3, 6.45 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-2, 5.26 ERA
Twins vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -120 | +125 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 +100 | -150 |
Twins vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+18.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Jones has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.60 Units / 194% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+11.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+1.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 15-14 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 4.6% ROI).
- 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -17.36% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.45% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 9.15% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 14-14 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -8.05% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 7.65% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 10.8% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -17.07% ROI
Guardians vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Jones (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (55 Total Bases / 110 ABs) on low non-fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strike rate of just 54% (43/80) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 11% (4 SO in 35 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (72 Total Bases / 141 ABs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .315 — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of .940 (304 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .720 — second Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed three-ball counts to 37% of batters they faced (22/60 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.030 (34 Total Bases / 33 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 0 Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of .956 (312 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .730 — second Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Twins are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Twins are just 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Guardians (14th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 4-10 (.286) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Twins are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Guardians are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have struck out in 28% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .514 (292 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .678.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are batting just .194 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Twins vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
