- The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Mariners TV Channel: TWTV | RTNW
The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Twins are 30-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-28 ATS.
Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 0-1, 7.72 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 5-2, 2.69 ERA
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -110 | +120 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -110 | -145 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+15.60 Units / 173% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 away games (+11.10 Units / 105% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Zebby Matthews has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 86% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games (+16.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 30-25 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 7.5% ROI).
- 30-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 18-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -30.06% ROI
- 33-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.25 Units / 21.88% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 27-28 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.89% ROI).
- 30-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -2.02% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 7.45% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.27 Units / -16.93% ROI
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brooks Lee (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.1 innings pitched — Andres Munoz has the longest active streak at 30.2.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has not walked any of the 90 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 3% of left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo’s K:BB ratio is 8.7 (26/3) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.8 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against Bryan Woo when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are 166-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mariners are 92-18 (.836) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 19-1 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Mariners were 49-32 (.605) at home in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters struck out 380 times in 1,509 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .214 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .293 against Twins pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .264 (1,939 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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