- The Twins are -110 favorites vs the Mariners
- Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Mariners TV Channel: FOX
The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Twins are 31-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-29 ATS.
Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-1, 3.40 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 2-4, 5.31 ERA
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 7 +100 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | U 7 -120 | -110 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+16.40 Units / 273% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+10.30 Units / 147% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.80 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.85 Units / 81% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+3.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 31-25 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 8.73% ROI).
- 31-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 3.51% ROI
- 19-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -27.94% ROI
- 33-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.05 Units / 19.51% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 27-29 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- 30-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.47 Units / -18.54% ROI
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -295 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .288 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — fourth worst among qualified SPs– fifth Percentile. Opponents batted just .148 (45-for-304) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of .470 non-fastballs this season — seventh worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 non-fastballs last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (40-for-293) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (27-for-86) against Bailey Ober when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .233 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .193 (51-for-264) against Bryce Miller when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .231 (324 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .213 (171-for-803) against Bryce Miller since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 91st Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are 76-31 (.710) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Twins are 18-8 (.692) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Mariners are 97-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are hitting just .171 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Twins were just 14-29 (.326) against the run line (-32.5% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Twins hitters had an OPS of just .482 (3,423 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Twins hitters have struck out in 26% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters are slugging .761 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .264 (1,949 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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