- The Twins are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Twins vs Nationals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Nationals TV Channel: BSNO | MASN
The Minnesota Twins (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+140) on Monday, May 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Twins are 24-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 27-18 ATS.
Twins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 4-3, 3.96 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 2-2, 3.13 ERA
Twins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 +100 | -165 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -120 | +140 |
Twins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 away games (+27.70 Units / 231% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+16.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+28.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 87% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.74 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 23-23 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -3.57% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -6.34% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -2.23% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 27-18 against the Run Line (+6.73 Units / 11.58% ROI).
- 20-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 11.89% ROI
- 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -16.79% ROI
- 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.98 Units / 7.98% ROI
Nationals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Nationals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 81 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 30% (112 SO in 368 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 52% (14 SO in 27 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .235 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .285 — 93rd Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (10 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 5th highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .343 — ninth Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike 73% (113/154) of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 97th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (23 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .304 — third Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has allowed an OPS of .866 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 10th highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .624 — 18th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 158-4 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 21-67 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Twins are 90-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Nationals are just 67-112 (.374) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 53-92 (.366) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 139-194 (.417) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 35-55 (.389) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 111 extra-base hits out of 255 total hits (43%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Twins are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Twins hitters have drawn 22 walks in 405 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .101 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters have just 455 strikeouts in 2,390 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .389 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 116 of 1,716 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Twins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
