Twins vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 15

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Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 15, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Twins / Orioles TV Channel: BSNO | MASN

The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Twins are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-7 ATS.

Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-2, 9.01 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 0-1, 8.11 ERA

Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -160O 9 -115+125
Orioles -1.5 +135U 9 -105-150

Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Twins vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -8.15% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -10.96% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -27% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 21.25% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-7 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 5.79% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.26% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.15% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -31.33% ROI

Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kyle Farmer (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Christian Vazquez (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Louie Varland (MIN) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Cole Irvin (BAL) 4.5 -110 4.5 -120

Louie Varland has allowed an OBP of .393 (28 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .247 — fourth Percentile.

Louie Varland had a strike rate of 69% (754/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Louie Varland has allowed an OPS of 1.096 (25 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .732 — sixth Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 71% (516/725) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 35 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Cole Irvin. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 47.

Cole Irvin has allowed three-ball counts to 14% of batters they faced (156/1,124 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (68/381) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Twins are 19-56 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Twins were 11-60 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Orioles are 30-21 (.588) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Orioles are 43-53 (.448) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Orioles are 142-9 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .171 (299 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .333 (299 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Twins are batting just .185 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Twins are batting just .092 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .164.

The Orioles are batting just .122 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.

The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Orioles hitters have drawn 4 walks in 18 PA’s (22%) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .143 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have walked 484 of 6,549 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Twins have allowed 0.50 runs per game (7/14) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 34 of 569 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 206 of 3,033 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.