- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Orioles TV Channel: BSNO | MASN
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Twins are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-7 ATS.
Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-2, 9.01 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 0-1, 8.11 ERA
Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Twins | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
Orioles | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -150 |
Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Twins Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -8.15% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -10.96% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -27% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 21.25% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-7 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 5.79% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.26% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.15% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -31.33% ROI
Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Kyle Farmer (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Christian Vazquez (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Louie Varland (MIN) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Cole Irvin (BAL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Louie Varland has allowed an OBP of .393 (28 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .247 — fourth Percentile.
Louie Varland had a strike rate of 69% (754/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Louie Varland has allowed an OPS of 1.096 (25 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .732 — sixth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 71% (516/725) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 35 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Cole Irvin. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 47.
Cole Irvin has allowed three-ball counts to 14% of batters they faced (156/1,124 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (68/381) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Twins are 19-56 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins were 11-60 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 30-21 (.588) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Orioles are 43-53 (.448) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Orioles are 142-9 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .171 (299 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .333 (299 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Twins are batting just .185 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Twins are batting just .092 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .164.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .122 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Orioles hitters have drawn 4 walks in 18 PA’s (22%) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .143 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 484 of 6,549 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Twins have allowed 0.50 runs per game (7/14) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 34 of 569 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 206 of 3,033 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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