- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Orioles TV Channel: BSNO | MASN
The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Twins are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 9-7 ATS.
Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-0, 4.16 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 2-0, 2.50 ERA
Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -105 | +135 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -160 |
Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joe Ryan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 81% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 away games (+7.19 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 150 games (+32.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 148 games (+22.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-8 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -10.28% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -21.41% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -23.91% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 17.61% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 9-7 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 19.55% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 8.42% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 30.3% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -39.77% ROI
Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of 1.082 (25 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .640 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (9/29) against Chris Paddack this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (4 GB hits out of 9 GBs) against Chris Paddack this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .256 — sixth Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of .943 (40 PA’s) this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .717 — eighth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has a strike rate of 70% (98/140) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 50% (8 SO in 16 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 91st Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has struck out 32% (12/37) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (17/39) against Grayson Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins are 19-57 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are 36-12 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 30-21 (.588) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Orioles are 43-53 (.448) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Orioles were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .174 (322 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .194 (62 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Twins are batting just .102 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .165.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .246 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Orioles are 40-17 (.702) against the run line (32.4% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 63-34 (.649) against the run line (20.4% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Orioles are 204-134 (.600) against the run line (12.9% ROI) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 34 of 605 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 507 of 6,703 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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