- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Rays
- Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | TWTV | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Monday, May 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Twins are 29-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 24-28 ATS.
Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 2-4, 4.01 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-5, 4.25 ERA
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -115 | +100 |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -105 | -120 |
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+13.40 Units / 223% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 25 away games (+6.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chris Paddack has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+15.30 Units / 191% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 85% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+14.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 29-23 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 12.13% ROI).
- 29-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 3.21% ROI
- 18-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -27.95% ROI
- 31-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.25 Units / 19.65% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 24-28 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -8.51% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.77 Units / -4.26% ROI
- 20-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.2 Units / -22.82% ROI
- 30-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 15% ROI
Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Rays vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has struck out just 12% (13/112) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 14% (10 SO in 70 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strike rate of just 60% (174/292) in two strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of just .226 (12 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — 85th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (51 Total Bases / 110 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (8/73) against Zack Littell on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 59% of the time (106/180) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 59% of the time (106/180) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Twins are just 1-87 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are 20-10 (.667) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 15-1 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .811.
The Rays are 22-86 (.204) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Rays are 73-7 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays batted just .212 with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 52 double plays in 335 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rays pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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