- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Royals
- Twins vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Royals TV Channel: TWTV | FDKC
The Minnesota Twins (-102) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-118) on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Twins are 3-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-5 ATS.
Twins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-1, 2.19 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-0, 3.60 ERA
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -110 | -102 |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -110 | -118 |
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+14.30 Units / 286% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.40 Units / 69% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 145 games (+9.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -38.67% ROI).
- 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -43.22% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 15.53% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -23.98% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -1.7% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -8.37% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.46% ROI
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -295 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has walked 11 of 306 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (87/354) against Pablo Lopez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a first pitch chase rate of 24% (82/335) against Pablo Lopez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (453/1,322) against Cole Ragans since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (336/807) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .130 (53-for-407) against Cole Ragans with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 91st Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 14-80 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 36-64 (.360) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Twins (11th best runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .273 (76 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Twins hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 5 total hits (80%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Twins are batting just .071 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .293 (1,502 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have just 14 strikeouts in 78 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals hitters have just 312 strikeouts in 1,580 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .363 against Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 1.98 (27.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
More MLB Reading:
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