Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Twins / Tigers TV Channel: BSNX | BSDT

The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Twins are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 4-7 ATS.

Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-1, 2.84 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 1-0, 2.92 ERA

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -200O 7 +100+105
Tigers -1.5 +165U 7 -120-125

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+9.39 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-6 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -10.53% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -24.9% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -43.35% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 37.98% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 4-7 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -26.47% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 10.78% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -13.28% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.7% ROI

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -550
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Manuel Margot (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal (DET) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115
Pablo Lopez (MIN) 6.5 +115 6.5 -150

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 69% (11/16) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (24/58) against Pablo Lopez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (24/58) against Pablo Lopez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (184/478) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (10/20) against Tarik Skubal on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 78% (39/50) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (30/75) against Tarik Skubal this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (36/94) against Tarik Skubal this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Twins are 35-12 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .613.

The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Tigers are 33-10 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.

The Tigers are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Tigers are just 19-87 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .566 (286 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Twins are batting just .121 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.

Twins hitters are slugging just .293 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.

The Twins are batting just .104 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .162.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,332 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,332 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (12,371 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 16 of 102 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 266 of 2,973 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.