- The Twins are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: BSNX | BSDT
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-7 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-1, 12.80 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 5.41 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+9.39 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -26.09% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -30.65% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -31.64% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 25.33% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -13.8% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 16.06% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .862 (25 Total Bases / 29 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of 1.317 (33 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .714 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has an ERA of 12.79 (6.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 — second Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (1,193/1,541) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .445 (254 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 39 of 254 batters (15%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .317 (357 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Twins were 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are 19-56 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are 36-12 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are just 21-129 (.140) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .171 (280 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Twins are batting just .173 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Twins are batting just .098 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .164.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (9,442 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .657 (12,492 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,442 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 483 of 6,517 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 18 of 132 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (522.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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