- The Twins are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / White Sox TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH
The Minnesota Twins (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 13-16 ATS.
Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 1-0, 2.46 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-3, 6.76 ERA
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 +100 | -165 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -120 | +140 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+18.60 Units / 372% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.60 Units / 137% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 14-14 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -5.23% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -2.6% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -7.8% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 13-16 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -16.91% ROI).
- 6-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -52.14% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.65% ROI
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (9/31) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (4 GB hits out of 9 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (10 Total Bases / 40 ABs) this season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 94th Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of just .500 (44 PA’s) this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 92nd Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 10% (13 SO in 133 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 13 of 71 left-handed batters (18%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka has struck out just 10% (6/62) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are 20-60 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Twins are just 15-29 (.341) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 27-65 (.293) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Twins are just 20-36 (.357) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 56-9 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 8-23 (.258) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The White Sox are just 21-46 (.313) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The White Sox are just 27-22 (.551) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .149 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters are slugging .686 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Twins hitters have 444 strikeouts in 1,788 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .257 (179 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The White Sox are batting just .153 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .518 (179 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (5,450 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 76 of 1,045 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 14% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 115 of 1,110 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,302 of 13,556 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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