- The Twins are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / White Sox TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-210) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+170) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 16-13 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 14-16 ATS.
Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 2-1, 4.21 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 1-3, 5.11 ERA
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -125 | O 9 -110 | -210 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +105 | U 9 -110 | +170 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+17.60 Units / 293% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.74 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 14-15 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -7.94% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.13% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.41% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -10.82% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 14-16 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -13.56% ROI).
- 6-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.6 Units / -53.79% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -3.8% ROI
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Vazquez (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (6/30) against Bailey Ober over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Bailey Ober when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (5/25) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (6/30) against Bailey Ober — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .683 (142 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .453 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (240 Total Bases / 393 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .435 — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .945 (327 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (34-for-94) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 15-29 (.341) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 39-13 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Twins are 21-60 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 20-36 (.357) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 56-9 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 21-46 (.313) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The White Sox are just 8-23 (.258) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The White Sox are just 49-19 (.721) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .922 (168 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Twins are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .279 (111 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Twins hitters have 1,481 strikeouts in 5,536 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .214 (3,727 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .253 (190 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The White Sox have won just 0% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 7% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have allowed a run 52% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 773 of 7,452 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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