- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Yankees TV Channel: BSNO | YES | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Twins are 33-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 37-26 ATS.
Twins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 5-5, 4.86 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 5-2, 2.74 ERA
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -110 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -110 | -135 |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+14.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+18.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 28 games (+18.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.64 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+20.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 29 games (+19.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 29 games (+19.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.29 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+16.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-33 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -10.32% ROI).
- 33-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -1.68% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -12.24% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.49% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 37-26 against the Run Line (+15.35 Units / 20.13% ROI).
- 44-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.9 Units / 17.97% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -11.91% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.31% ROI
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 108 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (201/551) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 4 of 147 left-handed batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed an OPS of .912 (107 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .641 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has allowed a just .278 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth best)– 88th Percentile and .509 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (263/465) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastball away 57% of the time (265/465) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 58% (194/334) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are 22-73 (.232) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are 99-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Twins are just 18-30 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 16-85 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 24-18 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 132-32 (.805) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are 53-16 (.768) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Yankees are 54-53 (.505) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .365.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have drawn 30 walks in 584 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .288 (274 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Twins hitters have 538 extra-base hits out of 1,333 total hits (40%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .728 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .550.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,388 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Yankees hitters have drawn 342 walks in 3,333 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .462 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 597 of 8,284 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 67% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have won 83% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees have won 63% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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