White Sox vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 9:53 AM

The Chicago White Sox (-105) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the White Sox are 3-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-6 ATS.

White Sox vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
White Sox-105
Brewers -115

White Sox vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.9% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 4-12 against the Run Line (-10.11 Units / -51.87% ROI).

  • 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -58.58% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.69 Units / -21.1% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 13.83% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 4-6 against the Run Line (-4.07 Units / -28.89% ROI).

  • 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.24 Units / -38.41% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 23.11% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -32.56% ROI

Erick Fedde has averaged 79.1 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde’s lowest spin rate on sliders since the 2021 season is 1967.0 RPM — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 1199.9

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of just 15% (25/161) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 15% (25/161) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 20% (40/202) against Bryse Wilson in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (26/87) against Bryse Wilson in two-strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 8-20 (.286) after a road win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 91-69 (.569) in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .289 (4,595 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .695 (4,547 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Brewers hitters averaged 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.37 (464.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.65 (740.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Brewers vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
  • John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.