- The Guardians are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NCH+
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-250) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 2-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-3 ATS.
White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 0-0, 2.80 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-0, 4.00 ERA
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -110 | +200 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -110 | -250 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 89% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -1.11% ROI).
- 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -49.09% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -40.64% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 32.91% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 39.93% ROI).
- 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 29.09% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 11.84% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -22.92% ROI
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Naylor | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ramirez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Naylor | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Sheets | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vaughn | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gimenez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freeman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Benintendi | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vaughn | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sheets | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Naylor | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Ramirez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Naylor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brennan | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gimenez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fedde | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
| Bibee | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 42% (30/71) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 42% (30/71) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (12 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (296/1,354) against Erick Fedde since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .933 (14 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .208 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .600 (9-for-15) against Tanner Bibee’s fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 53-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox are just 8-21 (.276) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Guardians are 34-115 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,349 strikeouts in 12,693 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .358 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians are batting .316 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 693 of 6,710 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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