- The Guardians are -235 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- White Sox / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | CHSN | MLBN
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-250) on Thursday, April 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 2-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 4-7 ATS.
White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 0-1, 3.12 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-0, 4.32 ERA
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | O 7 +100 | +200 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -110 | U 7 -120 | -250 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jonathan Cannon has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 away games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 82 games at home (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 81 games at home (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 17.39% ROI).
- 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -54.55% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -4.51% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 4-7 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -27.45% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -8.55% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -10.55% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 4.86% ROI
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Jones (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jonathan Cannon has an ERA of 7.08 (40.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 39% (25/65) versus Jonathan Cannon with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon had an ERA of 7.05 (37.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 33% (51/155) versus Jonathan Cannon on fastballs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
21 of Gavin Williams’ 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (73/103) in non-two strike counts this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 48% (12/25) against Gavin Williams with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (52/103) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 27-102 (.209) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The White Sox are just 3-61 (.047) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The White Sox are just 9-41 (.180) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Guardians (14th best runs scored) today.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 81-2 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Guardians are 69-9 (.885) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .278 (6,257 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .170 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Guardians are batting just .113 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .468 (67 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The White Sox won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
More MLB Reading:
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