- The Guardians are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- White Sox / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 1-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-2 ATS.
White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-1, 5.07 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 2-0, 2.32 ERA
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | O 9 -120 | +180 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | U 9 +100 | -225 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -9.2% ROI).
- 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -74.5% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -53.51% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 46.01% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 52.9% ROI).
- 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 53.7% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 4.05% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -15.53% ROI
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grossman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Sheets | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Freeman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brennan | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 -2500 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Soroka | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
| Allen | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 46 PAs) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 46 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Soroka has not struck out any hitters in 21 PA’s vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 15% (7/46) against Mike Soroka on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (19/35) against Logan Allen this season — tied for 13th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (6/36) against Logan Allen this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.
Logan Allen has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (30/61) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .304 (7-for-23) against Logan Allen’s non-fastballs this season — 7th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .202 — 13th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 19-43 (.306) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The White Sox are just 52-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 8-21 (.276) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Guardians are 34-115 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (4,875 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Guardians hitters have just 1,639 strikeouts in 9,062 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 16% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .200 (85 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have allowed 2.10 runs per game (21/10) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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