- The Guardians are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- White Sox / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-210) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 24-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 46-36 ATS.
White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-7, 5.17 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-6, 5.28 ERA
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | O 9 -105 | +170 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -110 | U 9 -115 | -210 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 82 games (+17.77 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 68 games (+15.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 82 games (+15.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 39-47 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -11.84% ROI).
- 24-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.55 Units / -33.58% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -11.15% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 2.96% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 46-36 against the Run Line (+15.45 Units / 15.49% ROI).
- 52-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.77 Units / 16.89% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.03% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -6.2% ROI
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .474 (18 GB hits out of 38 GBs) against Chris Flexen with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (87 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .379 (36 GB hits out of 95 GBs) against Chris Flexen with runners on base since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .255 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .321 (93-for-290) against Chris Flexen on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .391 (66-for-169) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .740 (125 Total Bases / 169 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .938 (471 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (230 Total Bases / 416 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 14-47 (.230) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The White Sox are just 7-24 (.226) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The White Sox are just 19-12 (.613) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 72-10 (.878) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 15-12 (.556) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Guardians are 17-6 (.739) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Guardians are 9-12 (.429) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Guardians are 183-6 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,086 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,949 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 20% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,732 PA’s) with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Guardians have a winning percentage of 74% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,511 of 15,730 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 324 of 3,284 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Guardians have allowed 0.71 runs per game (58/82) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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