- The Guardians are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- White Sox / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+155) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 24-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 46-37 ATS.
White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 5-3, 3.22 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-0, 0.00 ERA
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -130 | O 8 +100 | +155 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -120 | -190 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 83 games (+18.77 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 69 games (+16.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.50 Units / 35% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 40-47 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 24-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.55 Units / -34.33% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -9.98% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 1.65% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 46-37 against the Run Line (+14.35 Units / 14.23% ROI).
- 53-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.77 Units / 17.49% ROI
- 40-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.92% ROI
- 37-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -7.44% ROI
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (CWS) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 49% (289/584) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 18% (21 SO in 117 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (18-for-45) against Erick Fedde on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 59% (283/483) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (26/88) against Gavin Williams on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 91st Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 19-12 (.613) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 12-12 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The White Sox are just 7-23 (.233) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The White Sox are just 5-11 (.312) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 27-9 (.750) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Guardians are 37-138 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 35-20 (.636) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (4,544 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,122 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 19% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The White Sox have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,993 strikeouts in 10,920 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,880 strikeouts in 15,353 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 979 of 9,620 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 11% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.73 runs per game (61/83) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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