- The Mets are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- White Sox / Mets TV Channel: SNY | CHSN | MLBN
The Chicago White Sox (+225) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-285) on Monday, May 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the White Sox are 17-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 27-26 ATS.
White Sox vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 5-3, 3.13 ERA
White Sox vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +2.5 -135 | O 8.5 -118 | +225 |
| Mets | -2.5 +110 | U 8.5 -102 | -285 |
White Sox vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 69.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+12.15 Units / 203% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Edgar Quero has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+36.90 Units / 461% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.14 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.34 Units / 28% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 29-24 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 4.42% ROI).
- 17-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.41 Units / -17.72% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -8.13% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.69% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 27-26 against the Run Line (+1.79 Units / 2.67% ROI).
- 32-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 18-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.6 Units / -31.69% ROI
- 33-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.15 Units / 22.71% ROI
Mets vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Mets vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Mets vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser (NYM) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser had an ERA of 8.10 (16.0 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 3.71 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 12% (19/154) against Adrian Houser in the 2024 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser struck out just 12% (19/155) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Adrian Houser had a strikeout rate of just 15% (45/309) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 65% (116/178) against Clay Holmes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The White Sox are just 94-41 (.696) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 19-6 (.760) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Mets are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets are 15-6 (.714) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .644 (10,376 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 35% at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .168 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters are slugging just .293 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .762 (2,104 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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