- The Phillies are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the White Sox are 3-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 9-12 ATS.
White Sox vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Nick Nastrini 0-1, 3.60 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 2-1, 3.58 ERA
White Sox vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +2.5 -125 | O 7.5 -110 | +240 |
| Phillies | -2.5 +105 | U 7.5 -110 | -300 |
White Sox vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 68.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 109% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 away games (+5.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 8-12 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -27.23% ROI).
- 3-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -59.5% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -30.51% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 19.63% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 9-12 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI).
- 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 4.12% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -27.8% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 18.04% ROI
Phillies vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Nastrini has limited playing time.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (228/649) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has struck out just 10% (5/49) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 25 of 611 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .278 (83-for-299) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — fifth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The White Sox are just 19-45 (.297) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The White Sox are just 50-40 (.556) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The White Sox are just 8-23 (.258) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The White Sox are just 54-8 (.871) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Phillies are 20-21 (.488) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Phillies are 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 7-71 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 91-52 (.636) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,137 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (3,531 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .290 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (6,680 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .502 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .780 (2,164 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Phillies hitters have 538 strikeouts in 2,164 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .441 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,271 of 13,206 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 7 of 174 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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