White Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 7

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Tampa Bay Rays' Randy Arozarena bats against the New York Yankees during a baseball game Saturday, May 6, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 07, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • White Sox / Rays TV Channel: NSCH | BSUN

The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-250) on Tuesday, May 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the White Sox are 8-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 15-21 ATS.

White Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-3, 6.42 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 1-4, 4.17 ERA

White Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +105O 8 -115+200
Rays -1.5 -130U 8 -105-250

White Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+14.50 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Braden Shewmake has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+13.90 Units / 278% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.40 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 16-19 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -15.07% ROI).

  • 8-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -46.03% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.99% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -6.85% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 15-21 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -12.95% ROI).

  • 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -13.8% ROI
  • 21-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 11.53% ROI
  • 15-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -20.63% ROI

Rays vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Gavin Sheets (CWS) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Rays vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Gavin Sheets (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Rays vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Rays vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Eflin (TB) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Michael Soroka (CWS) 3.5 +110 3.5 -145

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 11% (16 SO in 151 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strike rate of just 59% (336/573) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 342 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 171 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (7/49) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 63 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The White Sox are just 22-47 (.319) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The White Sox are just 57-9 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rays are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 14-31 (.311) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 7-17 (.292) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .246 (240 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,231 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The White Sox are batting just .158 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .253 (163 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

28% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Rays are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rays hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 85 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 14 of 115 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.