- The Red Sox are -325 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- White Sox / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+260) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-325) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the White Sox are 4-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 11-10 ATS.
White Sox vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 0-1, 2.04 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 2-1, 1.39 ERA
White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +2.5 -125 | O 9 -120 | +260 |
| Red Sox | -2.5 +105 | U 9 +100 | -325 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 70.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 85% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 138% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.75 Units / 67% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 83 of their last 159 games (+2.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 27% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -12.1% ROI).
- 4-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -48.95% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -8.47% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.47% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 11-10 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -21.18% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 14.38% ROI
Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +100 |
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 3% (1/29) against Shane Smith when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (13/27) against Shane Smith on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed an OPS of just .215 (43 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Shane Smith this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has allowed an OPS of just .441 (99 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 96th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (14 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 44% (12 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has allowed an OBP of just .232 (99 PA’s) this season — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .305 — 94th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 36-24 (.600) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The White Sox are just 4-49 (.075) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox are 1-8 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are 54-11 (.831) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (9,449 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (12,526 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .642 (9,449 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 28% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters slugged .266 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Red Sox hitters have a swing rate of 51% this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
White Sox pitchers won only 6% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .329 against Red Sox pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
More MLB Reading:
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