- The Red Sox are -275 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- White Sox / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+225) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-275) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the White Sox are 32-111 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 65-77 ATS.
White Sox vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-14, 5.38 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 12-7, 4.79 ERA
White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 +105 | O 9.5 +100 | +225 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -125 | U 9.5 -120 | -275 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+27.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+15.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 45 games (+27.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+15.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 64% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 24 away games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games at home (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.95 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 57-86 against the Run Line (-35.5 Units / -21.1% ROI).
- 32-111 when betting on the Moneyline for -62.65 Units / -43.16% ROI
- 62-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -10.51% ROI
- 71-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 2.2% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 65-77 against the Run Line (-21.55 Units / -11.47% ROI).
- 72-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -2.87% ROI
- 73-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 3.31% ROI
- 62-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.65 Units / -11.4% ROI
Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Red Sox vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has an ERA of 7.69 (93.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .332 (71-for-214) against Chris Flexen when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OBP of .400 (240 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .313 (166-for-530) against Chris Flexen since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (193/326) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (245/423) against Brayan Bello since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (102/557) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (8/39) against Brayan Bello in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox are just 9-22 (.290) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The White Sox are just 26-21 (.553) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 54-149 (.266) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The White Sox are just 18-16 (.529) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox are just 14-122 (.103) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox are just 31-37 (.456) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Red Sox are just 3-133 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 20% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 22% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (8,541 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have won just 36% of games in which they have scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 68%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 460 strikeouts in 1,632 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .391 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 1% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 566 of 5,525 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 394 of 5,394 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
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