The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in Goodyear, AZ.
This season, the White Sox are 2-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 5-4 ATS.
White Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +110 |
| Reds | -130 |
White Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Curt Casali has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.40 Units / 170% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 76% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+10.93 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 3-12 against the Run Line (-11.11 Units / -62.31% ROI).
- 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -67.97% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.69 Units / -28.53% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 21.74% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Reds are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.83% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 8.33% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -17.05% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.47 Units / 4.78% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (103/249) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Dylan Cease allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (131/481) versus Dylan Cease in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Dylan Cease walked 79 of 784 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 11th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an average spin rate of 2783.4 RPM on sliders since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 98th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft allowed a slugging percentage of .412 (122 Total Bases / 296 ABs) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .310 — third Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 31% (43/137) against Graham Ashcraft’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft struck out just 16% (51/327) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox were just 19-21 (.475) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds are just 48-38 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 40-46 (.465) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds were just 24-12 (.667) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds were 13-63 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Reds have won just 57% of games in which they have scored first at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds have hit 1,462 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater in the 2023 season — 4th fewest in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers walked 613 of 6,310 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers walked 140 of 1,443 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, Out
- Jonathan India (Cincinnati Reds): Foot, Day-To-Day
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Oblique, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Lower Leg, Day-To-Day
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, Day-To-Day
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Abdomen, Out
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
- John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
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