White Sox vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

Cincinnati Reds' Blake Dunn rounds the bases to score on a base hit by Matt McLain during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels, Tuesday, March 18, 2025, in Goodyear, Ariz. (AP Photo/Matt York)
  • The Reds are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | CHSN

The Chicago White Sox (+185) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-225) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:14pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.

This season, the White Sox are 13-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 23-20 ATS.

White Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 1-4, 3.98 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-3, 3.24 ERA

White Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -110O 9 -120+185
Reds -1.5 -110U 9 +100-225

White Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.70 Units / 242% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.10 Units / 203% ROI)
  • Nick Lodolo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 23-19 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 3.63% ROI).

  • 13-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.51 Units / -20.21% ROI
  • 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -9.35% ROI
  • 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.33% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 23-20 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -4.28% ROI).

  • 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -9.72% ROI
  • 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -17.64% ROI
  • 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 8.52% ROI

Reds vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Hays (CIN) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625

Reds vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Hays (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180

Reds vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Hays (CIN) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Reds vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Lodolo (CIN) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
Davis Martin (CWS) 4.5 +115 4.5 -155

Davis Martin has a in-zone of just 7% (10/146) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Davis Martin has a first-pitch in-zone of just 16% (30/184) this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Davis Martin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB*; League Avg: .338 — first Percentile.

Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (10 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Lodolo has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Nick Lodolo on low fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — seventh Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 44-26 (.629) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The White Sox were just 18-63 (.222) on the road in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Reds are just 6-18 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .644 (10,082 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (10,082 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Reds hitters have struck out in 44% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.