White Sox vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2024, 11:00 AM

The Chicago White Sox (+105) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-130) on Sunday, March 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the White Sox are 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-7 ATS.

White Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
White Sox+105
Rockies -130

White Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 7-15 against the Run Line (-1.92 Units / -38.3% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -41.45% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -20.66% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 13.07% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 12-7 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / 17.26% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / 42.28% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -10.04% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.53% ROI

Erick Fedde has averaged 79.1 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to September 10th, 2022 — the longest active streak is 8.

Erick Fedde’s lowest spin rate on sliders since the 2021 season is 1967.0 RPM — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 1199.9

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (144 Total Bases / 218 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .455 — third Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order batted .334 (119-for-356) against Austin Gomber in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (198/366) of the time in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (173 Total Bases / 307 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — third Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 8-20 (.286) after a road win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The White Sox are just 31-37 (.456) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .289 (4,595 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
  • John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.