White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 4

min read
Kansas City Royals' Vinnie Pasquantino at bat during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Monday, April 3, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Royals are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | MLBN | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-175) on Thursday, April 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the White Sox are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 3-3 ATS.

White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-0, 7.72 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 0-0, 0.00 ERA

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -145O 8 -105+145
Royals -1.5 +120U 8 -115-175

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on White Sox vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in their last 2 away games (+2.65 Units / 133% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 4-1 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 49.59% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -49% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -43.24% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 34.86% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 3-3 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -17.68% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -26.67% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -18.84% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 15.87% ROI

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Witt Jr. 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Sheets 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Shewmake 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Garcia 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600
Benintendi 0.5 +1350 0.5 -5000

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lugo 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
Soroka 3.5 -110 3.5 -120

Mike Soroka has not struck out any hitters in 24 PA’s this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 4% (1/22) against Mike Soroka this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Mike Soroka has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 23% (3/13) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (10/24) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Seth Lugo this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (3/18) against Seth Lugo this season — tied for 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Seth Lugo this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 95th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed an OPS of just .282 (22 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 96th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 19-22 (.463) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The White Sox are just 20-127 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Royals are just 16-41 (.281) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The Royals were just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .212 (3,243 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The White Sox are batting just .128 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.

White Sox hitters have 19 strikeouts in 49 PA’s (39%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,072 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 673 of 6,496 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have walked 2 of 54 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (700.0 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.

Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

Bet now on White Sox vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.