White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 5

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Kansas City Royals' MJ Melendez bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Saturday, June 17, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2024, 11:03 AM
  • The Royals are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • White Sox / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+150) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-185) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the White Sox are 1-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-3 ATS.

White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 0-0, 3.86 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 1-0, 0.00 ERA

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -135O 8 -105+150
Royals -1.5 +110U 8 -115-185

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in their last 2 away games (+2.65 Units / 133% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 4-2 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 23.13% ROI).

  • 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -57.5% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -20.9% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 13.08% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 4-3 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -3.73% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.68% ROI

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Witt Jr. 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Sheets 0.5 +700 0.5 -1200
Shewmake 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400
Fermin 0.5 +825 0.5 -1400
Garcia 0.5 +825 0.5 -1400

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fedde 3.5 -145 3.5 +110
Singer 5.5 +130 5.5 -165

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 40% (15/38) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (290/1,307) against Erick Fedde since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Erick Fedde has walked 24 of 152 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has an ERA of 5.74 (131.2 IP)since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — third Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 79% (11/14) against Brady Singer this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 56% of the time (29/52) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (19/45) against Brady Singer this season — 2nd best among in AL; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Brady Singer with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 95th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 11-22 (.333) after a home win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The White Sox were just 48-33 (.593) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 11-84 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Royals are just 16-41 (.281) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The Royals were just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The White Sox are batting just .125 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (6,184 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 53 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 677 of 6,533 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.