White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 6

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Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. during a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 06, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Royals are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-225) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the White Sox are 1-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-4 ATS.

White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 0-1, 8.32 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 0-0, 5.41 ERA

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -110O 9 -115+180
Royals -1.5 -110U 9 -105-225

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in their last 2 away games (+2.65 Units / 133% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 5-2 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 31.21% ROI).

  • 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -63.57% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -32.48% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 24.5% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -13.57% ROI).

  • 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 4.17% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -15.76% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 11.31% ROI

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Witt Jr. 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Melendez 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Sheets 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Grossman 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Benintendi 0.5 +1250 0.5 -3000

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wacha 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Flexen 3.5 +125 3.5 -160

Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of 1.021 (268 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .730 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .345 (80-for-232) against Chris Flexen in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.

Chris Flexen allowed a slugging percentage of .716 (116 Total Bases / 162 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .456 — 0 Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (219 Total Bases / 358 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .435 — second Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (344/715) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (6-for-60) against Michael Wacha on fastballs away since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 99th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (20/30) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .427 (159 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox are just 52-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox are just 19-43 (.306) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The White Sox are just 49-35 (.570) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 11-84 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Royals are just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .212 (3,273 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .189 (53 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .468 (48 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.067.

White Sox hitters have 20 strikeouts in 53 PA’s (38%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,072 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters are averaging just 3.34 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 61 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 681 of 6,568 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Royals pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.