- The Royals are + favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- White Sox / Royals TV Channel: NSCH | BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (+) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+) on Friday, July 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the White Sox are 27-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 55-42 ATS.
White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-8, 4.86 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 6-6, 3.86 ERA
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 +100 | + |
| Royals | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -120 | + |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+13.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+9.59 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+5.10 Units / 16% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-54 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -13.05% ROI).
- 27-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -35.3 Units / -34.9% ROI
- 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.99% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 55-42 against the Run Line (+4.14 Units / 3.08% ROI).
- 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 5.19% ROI
- 40-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.15 Units / -17.22% ROI
- 53-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.8 Units / 8.31% ROI
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adam Frazier (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (22 SO in 164 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (53/285) against Chris Flexen this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 33% (71 SO in 217 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .907 (164 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (537/1,109) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (824/1,707) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (201/411) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (51/330) against Michael Wacha on elevated fastballs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 22-15 (.595) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox are just 26-63 (.292) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The White Sox are just 9-31 (.225) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The White Sox are just 71-56 (.559) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 20-97 (.171) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are 21-32 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .276.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (7,342 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,533 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (5,064 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The White Sox have won just 44% of games in which they have scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 69%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 94 PA’s (11%) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The White Sox have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 15% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (227.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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