- The Royals are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- White Sox / Royals TV Channel: NSCH | BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-225) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the White Sox are 27-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 57-42 ATS.
White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Drew Thorpe 3-1, 3.62 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 11-4, 2.47 ERA
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Royals | -1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+6.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 46 away games (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.59 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-56 against the Run Line (-17.4 Units / -14.49% ROI).
- 27-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -37.3 Units / -36.16% ROI
- 44-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -11.06% ROI
- 51-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 2.81% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 57-42 against the Run Line (+6.14 Units / 4.49% ROI).
- 54-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 6.64% ROI
- 40-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.25 Units / -18.84% ROI
- 55-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.8 Units / 9.98% ROI
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Thorpe (CWS) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 16 AB’s against Drew Thorpe when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .327 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (6-for-43) against Drew Thorpe this month (2 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 94th Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has allowed an OPS of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .761 — 99th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has walked 10 of 237 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (30/154) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .266 (17-for-64) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 87th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 23% of the time (210/910) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 93rd Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 17-54 (.239) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The White Sox are just 23-23 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The White Sox are just 67-29 (.698) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox are just 75-11 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 20-97 (.171) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are 21-32 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (7,408 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,603 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 20% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 33% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (9%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals hitters have just 141 strikeouts in 807 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 11% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.68 (245.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Royals pitchers have walked 14 of 282 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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